In a country with a high proportion of children in their 30s and 40s living with old parents, a study found that there were more confirmed cases of new coronavirus infections (corona19). Moritz Kun and Christian Bayer, professors of economics at the German University of Germany, analyzed the number of confirmed persons and deaths and household statistics published by the World Health Organization (WHO) and governments of each country.
The researchers did not believe that Italy had a high proportion of older adults in Europe. This is because, unlike Northern Europe, Italy has a strong family culture where many generations live together. The elderly are more likely to be exposed to the virus than those who live with their active children, such as the workplace.
According to the German Federal Population Research Institute (BiB), two out of three new corona diagnoses in Italy are older than 60 years of age. In Germany, however, the proportion is much lower, with 1 in 10 people.
Professor Kun said to AGI Communication in Italy, “The more chances of old people coming into contact with young people, the higher the chance of getting a new corona.” "I usually do exchanges between the same age groups."
Spain is the country with the most damage to new corona in Europe after Italy. In both countries, it is also common for older people to care for their grandchildren in their homes. As of the 18th, there were 3,5713 confirmed cases in Italy (2978 deaths), and 1,3716 confirmed cases in Spain (598 deaths).
Increasing mortality is a factor in increasing mortality. Italy's new corona mortality rate (as of the 16th) is about 7%, the highest in the world. The World Health Organization (WHO) has a global average of 3.4%. In contrast, Europe, Norway, Denmark, and Germany have a fatality rate of 0%.
"It is very likely that a second wave will come because there is no vaccine, even when this situation really enters the phase."
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